CHAPTER 1 INTRODUCTION TO QUANTITATIVE METHODS FOR DECISION MAKING 1.1 Quantitative Methods: A Continuing Story of Success 1.2 Management Science and Operations Research 1.3 The Importance of Studying Quantitative Methods Main words or phrases CHAPTER 2 FORECASTING 2.1 Forecasting Using Past Data: Time-series Analysis 2.2 Exponential Smoothing 2.3 Forecasting Trend Using Regression Main words or phrases CHAPTER 3 INVENTORY MODELS 3.1 Introduction 3.2 The Economic Order Quantity (EOQ) Model 3.3 Optimal Inventory Policy with Backordering 3.4 Economic Production Lot-size Model 3.5 Single-period Inventory Decisions with Uncertain Factors 3.6 Multi-period Inventory Policies with Uncertain Factors Main words or phrases CHAPTER 4 LINEAR PROGRAMMING 4.1 Introduction 4.2 Formulation of Linear Programming Models 4.3 Graphical Solution of Linear Programs 4.4 Linear Program in Standard Form 4.5 Simplex Method 4.6 Use of Artificial Variables Main words or phrases CHAPTER 5 TRANSPORTATION PROBLEMS 5.1 A Shipment-Scheduling Case 5.2 Getting Started: The Northwest Comer Ruler 5.3 Getting Started: The Least Cost Ruler 5.4 Getting Started: The Vogel's Approximation Ruler 5.5 Solving the Problem: The Simplex Analogy Main words or phrases CHAPTER 6 PROJECT PLANNING WITH PERT 6.1 The Basic Concepts of PERT 6.2 An Analysis of the PERT Network 6.3 Planning and Control Using the PERT Network 6.4 Time-Cost Trade-Off Evaluations with PERT 6.5 Probabilistic PERT Analysis with Three Time Estimates Main words or phrases CHAPTER 7 DECISION MAKING 7.1 The Certainty and Uncertainty in Decision Making 7.2 The Elements of Decisions 7.3 The Bayes Decision Rule 7.4 The Decision Tree Analysis 7.5 Decision Making Using Experimental Information 7.6 Decision Making Using Normal Distribution 7.7 Decision Making with Utility Main words or phrases CHAPTER8 GAMES INTERACTIVE DECISIONS 8.1 Game Theory 8.2 Major Game Types and Their Solutions 8.3 Some Properties of Zero-Sum Games 8.4 Mixed Strategies in Games with no Equilibrium Act Pair 8.5 Mixed Strategies in Larger Games 8.6 Additional Remarks Main words or phrases CHAPTER 9 DYNAMIC PROGRAMMING 9.1 The Stagecoach Problem 9.2 Types of Dynamic Programs 9.3 The Knapsack Problem 9.4 Maximizing System Reliability 9.5 Optimizing Multi-period Inventories and Production 9.6 Probabilistic Dynamic Programming Main words or phrases CHAPTER 10 RANDOM PROCESSES 10.1 Discrete Time Processes 10.2 Continuous Time Processes Main words or phrases 參考文獻(xiàn) 教學(xué)大綱
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